Gasogi United vs Gorilla FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kigali Pele Stadium, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Gasogi United are 11th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Kiyovu Sports, level on points with AS Kigali. A win would take them above Kiyovu Sports. Gorilla FC are 5th on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Mukura, level on points with Etincelles. A win would take them above Mukura.
Form. Gasogi United have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Gorilla FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Gasogi United score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gasogi United average 8.8 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Gorilla FC score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gorilla FC average 4.3 shots (1.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Gasogi United have won four, drawn two and lost four. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Gasogi United won two, one was drawn and Gorilla FC won one. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2026, it finished Gasogi United 2-1 Gorilla FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Gorilla FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Gasogi United: in the last ten meetings, Gasogi United won four, Gorilla FC won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.53, 73% on the records (Gasogi United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Gorilla FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10). Leave: Gorilla FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gorilla FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gorilla FC 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Gasogi United 1-2 Gorilla FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).