AQALQ

19:00Fri 23 Oct

ALH

Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal SFC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Al Qadsiah are 1st on 25 points after 10 games, 1 point clear of Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Al Hilal SFC are 2nd on 24 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Al-Qadisiyah FC, 2 points clear of Al-Nassr. A win would take them above Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Form. Al Qadsiah have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Al Qadsiah have gone W W W D W W. Al Hilal SFC have won eight, drawn none and lost one of their last nine, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Al Hilal SFC have gone W W W L W W.

The numbers. Al Qadsiah score 2.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Al Qadsiah average 13.5 shots (6.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Al Hilal SFC score three and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with five clean sheets. Al Hilal SFC average 20.1 shots (7.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Qadsiah have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al Qadsiah won one, two were drawn and Al Hilal SFC won one. The last time they met, on 29 Jan 2026, it finished Al Qadsiah 2-2 Al Hilal SFC: Al Qadsiah had 7 shots to 19, 44% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The case against. Al Qadsiah's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. Al Hilal SFC to win. Their goals for and against make Al Hilal SFC the likelier winners; Al Hilal SFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Hilal SFC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Al Qadsiah 0-1 Al Hilal SFC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Al Hilal SFC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALQ 9 of 9 (100%) · ALH 9 of 10 (90%)96.3%

Al Hilal SFC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al Qadsiah: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level

Al Hilal SFC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

ALQ 8 of 9 (89%) · ALH 7 of 10 (70%)84.6%

Al Hilal SFC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al Qadsiah: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level

Al Hilal SFC win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.13

ALQ 8 of 9 (89%) · ALH 6 of 10 (60%)80.8%

Al Hilal SFC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al Qadsiah: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

ALQ 9 of 10 (90%) · ALH 6 of 9 (67%)96.2%

Al Qadsiah: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Hilal SFC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.32

ALQ 7 of 10 (70%) · ALH 5 of 9 (56%)89.9%

Al Qadsiah: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Hilal SFC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

ALQ 8 of 10 (80%) · ALH 8 of 9 (89%)70.7%

Al Qadsiah: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Hilal SFC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level

AL HILAL SFC GOALS

Al Hilal SFC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

ALQ 8 of 9 (89%) · ALH 6 of 10 (60%)76.3%

Al Hilal SFC scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al Qadsiah conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

ALQ 8 of 10 (80%) · ALH 7 of 9 (78%)80%

Al Qadsiah: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Hilal SFC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al Hilal SFC's level · Al Hilal SFC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level

Left off the list: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the numbers (66%) and the records (88%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 11.8%

Al Qadsiah goals →

Al Hilal SFC goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

AL QADSIAHWLWWWWDWWW2.50 PPG

AL HILAL SFCWWWWWLWWW2.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL QADSIAH HOMExAL HILAL SFC AWAY

2.40SCORED A GAME3.000.90CONCEDED A GAME0.7840%CLEAN SHEETS56%10%FAILED TO SCORE11%5.62CORNERS A GAME6.121.88CARDS A GAME1.252.53xG3.341.04xG AGAINST1.03

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.50POINTS A GAME2.62+1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.12+3.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.92.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 85/90

AL QADSIAH OR DRAW

47%

NO · 80/85

AL HILAL SFC OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL QADSIAHxAL HILAL SFC

5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.611.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AL QADSIAH 2 · 20%DRAW 2AL HILAL SFC 6 · 60%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-01-20Al Qadsiah 1 – 0 Al Hilal SFC

2018-03-16Al Qadsiah 0 – 1 Al Hilal SFC

2018-11-02Al Qadsiah 0 – 2 Al Hilal SFC

2019-02-12Al Qadsiah 1 – 4 Al Hilal SFC

2020-12-21Al Qadsiah 1 – 3 Al Hilal SFC

2021-03-20Al Qadsiah 0 – 1 Al Hilal SFC

2025-01-27Al Qadsiah 2 – 1 Al Hilal SFC

2025-05-26Al Qadsiah 0 – 2 Al Hilal SFC

TRENDS

Al Qadsiah have scored in 90% of their games.

Al Hilal SFC have scored in 90% of their games.

Al Qadsiah failed to score in 10% of their games.

Al Hilal SFC failed to score in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards