EDGE PICKDiriyah Club Over 0.5 Goals · 60.8% · @1.27
Book 79% · Us 61%-18price too short
Backed by
Diriyah Club scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ittihad Club conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Alinma Stadium, Jeddah.
What's at stake. Al-Ittihad Club are 4th on 20 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Al-Nassr, 2 points clear of Al-Ahli Jeddah. A win would take them above Al-Nassr. Diriyah Club are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind NEOM, level on points with Al-Ettifaq. A win would take them above NEOM.
Form. Al-Ittihad Club have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. Diriyah Club have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. In this competition Diriyah Club have gone W D L D W L.
The numbers. Al-Ittihad Club score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Al-Ittihad Club average 12.9 shots (5.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Diriyah Club score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Diriyah Club average 11.9 shots (3.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
The case against. Diriyah Club's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Al-Ittihad Club to win. Their goals for and against make Al-Ittihad Club the likelier winners; Al-Ittihad Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al-Ittihad Club.
The bets. Best bet: Al-Ittihad Club or Draw at 1.25, 76% on the records (Al-Ittihad Club unbeaten in 8 of 10; Diriyah Club failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: Al-Ittihad Club or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al-Ittihad Club are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Al-Ittihad Club are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al-Ittihad Club 1-0 Diriyah Club (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Al-Ittihad Club or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.27
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 8 of 10 (80%)85%
Al-Ittihad Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Al-Ittihad Club or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · DIR 7 of 10 (70%)85%
Al-Ittihad Club: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Double Chance: Al-Ittihad Club or DrawMAININ CODES
1.25
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 6 of 10 (60%)82.2%
Al-Ittihad Club unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Al-Ittihad Club or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.14
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · DIR 6 of 10 (60%)81.2%
Al-Ittihad Club: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Al-Ittihad Club (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.61
ALI 6 of 8 (75%) · DIR 3 of 7 (43%)76%
Al-Ittihad Club won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Diriyah Club lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4
Al-Ittihad Club or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 5 of 10 (50%)73.8%
Al-Ittihad Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Al-Ittihad Club or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
ALI 3 of 5 (60%) · DIR 8 of 10 (80%)66.7%
Al-Ittihad Club scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Al-Ittihad Club to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.15
ALI 6 of 10 (60%) · DIR 3 of 10 (30%)62.7%
Al-Ittihad Club won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club lost 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · DIR 9 of 10 (90%)94.2%
Al-Ittihad Club: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 6 of 10 (60%)74.8%
Al-Ittihad Club: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 3 of 10 (30%)51.6%
Al-Ittihad Club: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: both scored in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
AL-ITTIHAD CLUB GOALS
Al-Ittihad Club Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · DIR 6 of 10 (60%)85%
Al-Ittihad Club scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
DIRIYAH CLUB GOALS
Diriyah Club Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.57
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 7 of 10 (70%)66.8%
Diriyah Club scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ittihad Club conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Diriyah Club Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
ALI 6 of 10 (60%) · DIR 8 of 10 (80%)60.8%
Diriyah Club scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ittihad Club conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · DIR 6 of 10 (60%)70%
Al-Ittihad Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Al-Ittihad Club are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Al-Ittihad Club are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.7%
Al-Ittihad Club goals →
Diriyah Club goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
AL-ITTIHAD CLUBWWDWWWDLLW2.00 PPG
DIRIYAH CLUBLWDWLWDLDW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL-ITTIHAD CLUB HOMExDIRIYAH CLUB AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME0.901.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE40%5.44CORNERS A GAME5.251.78CARDS A GAME2.001.99xG1.491.48xG AGAINST1.37
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AL-ITTIHAD CLUB OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.22POINTS A GAME1.67+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Al-Ittihad Club: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AL-ITTIHAD CLUB OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
DIRIYAH CLUB OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL-ITTIHAD CLUBxDIRIYAH CLUB
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.004.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Al-Ittihad Club have scored in 90% of their games.
Diriyah Club have scored in 60% of their games.
Al-Ittihad Club kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Diriyah Club kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards