EDGE PICKAl-Faisaly FC Under 1.5 goals · 77.3% · @1.20
Book 83% · Us 77%-6price too short
Backed by
Al-Faisaly FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Al-Faisaly FC host Al Nassr Club in the Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. The match is played at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct at 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Al-Faisaly FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten games, averaging 0.7 points a game. Their last five ended D W L D D. Al Nassr Club have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, averaging 2.2 points a game. Their recent five read W W W L D.
The numbers. Al-Faisaly FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 6.3 shots (2.9 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.8 cards. Al Nassr Club score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 13.5 shots (5.6 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.8 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree for me here. The odds board makes it 79% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Al Nassr Club are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Nassr Club the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Al Nassr Club, though their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Al-Faisaly FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). The safer one: Al Nassr Club (Draw No Bet) at 1.09 (80%). Full cover: Al-Faisaly FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al-Faisaly FC 1-2 Al Nassr Club (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Al Nassr Club or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALF 8 of 8 (100%) · ALN 4 of 5 (80%)85.9%
Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Faisaly FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level
Al Nassr Club (Draw No Bet)SAFERPAGE ONLY
1.09
ALF 6 of 7 (86%) · ALN 4 of 5 (80%)84.8%
Al Nassr Club won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Faisaly FC lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 3
Al Nassr Club 1UPIN CODES
1.14
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALN 6 of 8 (75%)71.7%
Al Nassr Club scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Faisaly FC trailed in 4 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level
Al Nassr Club or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
ALF 7 of 8 (88%) · ALN 3 of 5 (60%)68.7%
Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Faisaly FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level
Al Nassr Club or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALN 6 of 8 (75%)63.9%
Al-Faisaly FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
Al Nassr Club to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
ALF 6 of 8 (75%) · ALN 2 of 5 (40%)59%
Al Nassr Club won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Faisaly FC lost 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 60% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level
1X2 - 2UP: Al Nassr ClubLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALN 6 of 8 (75%)58.3%
Al Nassr Club scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Faisaly FC trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
ALF 4 of 5 (80%) · ALN 7 of 8 (88%)70.9%
Al-Faisaly FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
AL-FAISALY FC GOALS
Al-Faisaly FC Under 1.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.20
ALF 4 of 5 (80%) · ALN 6 of 8 (75%)77.3%
Al-Faisaly FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALN 7 of 8 (88%)74.9%
Al-Faisaly FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALN 7 of 8 (88%)74.9%
Al-Faisaly FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · Al-Faisaly FC: only games against sides at Al Nassr Club's level · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Al-Faisaly FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.9%
Al-Faisaly FC goals →
Al Nassr Club goals ↓
0-07%
1-05%
2-02%
3-00.7%
4-00.1%
5-00.0%
0-111%
1-111%
2-14%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.0%
0-211%
1-210%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.0%
0-37%
1-36%
2-33%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-44%
1-43%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AL-FAISALY FCDWLDDLDLLL0.70 PPG
AL NASSR CLUBWWWLDWLWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL-FAISALY FC HOMExAL NASSR CLUB AWAY
1.11SCORED A GAME2.221.89CONCEDED A GAME0.7820%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.44CORNERS A GAME7.891.80CARDS A GAME1.80
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.78POINTS A GAME2.44-0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.44-4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9
Al Nassr Club: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
AL NASSR CLUB 0:2 HANDICAP
–
54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
AL-FAISALY FC OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
AL NASSR CLUB OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL-FAISALY FCxAL NASSR CLUB
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Al-Faisaly FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Al Nassr Club have scored in 90% of their games.
Al-Faisaly FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Al Nassr Club kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards