Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn. The referee is G. Osomkov.
What's at stake. Nomme Kalju FC are 4th on 51 points after 32 games, 7 points behind Flora Tallinn, 1 point clear of Tammeka. Tallinna FC Flora are 3rd on 58 points after 33 games, 2 points behind Paide, 7 points clear of Kalju Nomme. A win would take them above Paide. Nomme Kalju FC have nothing left to play for, while Tallinna FC Flora need the win.
Form. Nomme Kalju FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Nomme Kalju FC have gone L D L W W L. Tallinna FC Flora have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Tallinna FC Flora have gone L W L L W W.
The numbers. Nomme Kalju FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nomme Kalju FC average 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Tallinna FC Flora score 1.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Tallinna FC Flora average 6.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nomme Kalju FC have won four, drawn none and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Nomme Kalju FC won two and Tallinna FC Flora won two. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Nomme Kalju FC 1-2 Tallinna FC Flora.
The case against. Nomme Kalju FC's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Tallinna FC Flora to win. An open game. Tallinna FC Flora are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tallinna FC Flora. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (Nomme Kalju FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Tallinna FC Flora: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Tallinna FC Flora win or both teams score at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Tallinna FC Flora or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Tallinna FC Flora 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Nomme Kalju FC 1-2 Tallinna FC Flora (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).