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QATAR - STARS LEAGUE
Al Gharafa SC crestAGALG
17:45Thu 22 Oct
ALAAl Ahli Doha SC crestAA

Al Gharafa SC vs Al Ahli Doha SC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Al Gharafa Stadium , Doha.

What's at stake. Al Gharafa SC are 10th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Lusail City, 2 points clear of Qatar SC. A win would take them above Lusail City. Al Ahli Doha SC are 7th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Al Wakrah, level on points with Al Shahaniya. A win would take them above Al Wakrah.

Form. Al Gharafa SC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Al Ahli Doha SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.

The numbers. Al Gharafa SC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Gharafa SC average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Al Ahli Doha SC score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Al Ahli Doha SC average 8.5 shots (4.4 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Al Gharafa SC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Al Gharafa SC won two and Al Ahli Doha SC won two. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2026, it finished Al Gharafa SC 1-4 Al Ahli Doha SC: Al Gharafa SC had 9 shots to 14, 54% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Al Gharafa SC the likelier winners, but Al Ahli Doha SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ahli Doha SC.

The case against. Al Ahli Doha SC's record still gives them 47% to win.

The read. Al Gharafa SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Gharafa SC the likelier winners; Al Ahli Doha SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ahli Doha SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Gharafa SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Al Ahli Doha SC Under 1.5 goals (Al Gharafa SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Al Gharafa SC Over 1.5 goals (Al Gharafa SC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: Al Gharafa SC 2-1 Al Ahli Doha SC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Al Gharafa SC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 6 of 7 (86%)80.8%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Al Gharafa SC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 6 of 7 (86%)80.8%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Al Gharafa SC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.21
ALG 4 of 5 (80%) · ALA 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%
Al Gharafa SC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Al Gharafa SC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.11
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 5 of 7 (71%)76%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Al Gharafa SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
ALG 2 of 5 (40%) · ALA 3 of 6 (50%)52.2%
Al Gharafa SC scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 7 of 7 (100%)93.6%
Al Gharafa SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 6 of 7 (86%)78.9%
Al Gharafa SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 6 of 7 (86%)50.7%
Al Gharafa SC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
AL GHARAFA SC GOALS
Al Gharafa SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 5 of 7 (71%)82.9%
Al Gharafa SC scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
ALG 6 of 6 (100%) · ALA 4 of 7 (57%)83.9%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.31
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ALA 6 of 7 (86%)78%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
ALG 3 of 6 (50%) · ALA 3 of 7 (43%)55.7%
Al Gharafa SC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 46% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 6 of 6 (100%) · ALA 4 of 7 (57%)78.6%
Al Gharafa SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Ahli Doha SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Al Gharafa SC: only games in Al Ahli Doha SC's division · Al Ahli Doha SC: only games in Al Gharafa SC's division
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Gharafa SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Al Ahli Doha SC Under 1.5 goals (Al Gharafa SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Al Gharafa SC Over 1.5 goals (Al Gharafa SC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Al Gharafa SC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Al Gharafa SC goals →
Al Ahli Doha SC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
AL GHARAFA SCDLLWLDLLLW0.80 PPG
AL AHLI DOHA SCLWDLLWDLWL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL GHARAFA SC HOMExAL AHLI DOHA SC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.671.83CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.67CORNERS A GAME6.332.50CARDS A GAME1.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AL GHARAFA SC TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
AL GHARAFA SC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.40-0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.00.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES5
Al Ahli Doha SC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 85/90
AL GHARAFA SC OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
AL AHLI DOHA SC OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL GHARAFA SCxAL AHLI DOHA SC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.002.00CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
AL GHARAFA SC 3 · 33%DRAW 3AL AHLI DOHA SC 3 · 33%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-01-07Al Gharafa SC 0 – 0 Al Ahli Doha SC
2022-08-31Al Gharafa SC 3 – 3 Al Ahli Doha SC
2023-03-03Al Gharafa SC 1 – 1 Al Ahli Doha SC
2023-09-01Al Gharafa SC 4 – 1 Al Ahli Doha SC
2024-02-24Al Gharafa SC 1 – 2 Al Ahli Doha SC
2024-08-18Al Gharafa SC 0 – 1 Al Ahli Doha SC
2025-01-22Al Gharafa SC 2 – 0 Al Ahli Doha SC
2025-10-25Al Gharafa SC 3 – 1 Al Ahli Doha SC
TRENDS
Al Gharafa SC have scored in 80% of their games.
Al Ahli Doha SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Al Gharafa SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Al Ahli Doha SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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