Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples

Match details. USL League One, Group Stage. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Premier Sports Campus.

What's at stake. Sarasota Paradise are 11th on 39 points after 30 games, level on points with Westchester SC, 3 points clear of Corpus Christi. A win would take them above Westchester SC. FC Naples are 9th on 40 points after 30 games, 5 points behind Fort Wayne, 1 point clear of Westchester SC.

Form. Sarasota Paradise have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sarasota Paradise have gone W W L W W D. FC Naples have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition FC Naples have gone W W W W D D.

The numbers. Sarasota Paradise score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Sarasota Paradise average 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Naples score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Naples average 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Sarasota Paradise have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2026, it finished Sarasota Paradise 2-0 FC Naples.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. FC Naples's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Sarasota Paradise to win. Their goals for and against make Sarasota Paradise the likelier winners; Sarasota Paradise are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 1-0 FC Naples (10% chance).