FCFCC

20:30Mon 26 Oct

SSD

FC Crotone vs S.S.D. Casarano Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group C. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.

Form. FC Crotone have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D.

The numbers. FC Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Crotone average 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio average 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The case against. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. FC Crotone or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Crotone the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Crotone or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Crotone or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Crotone 1-1 S.S.D. Casarano Calcio (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Crotone or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.20

FCC 3 of 5 (60%) · SSD 5 of 5 (100%)79.6%

FC Crotone: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · FC Crotone: only games against sides at S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's level · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level

FC Crotone or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

FCC 3 of 5 (60%) · SSD 5 of 5 (100%)73.4%

FC Crotone or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

FCC 2 of 5 (40%) · SSD 2 of 5 (40%)60%

FC Crotone scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 2 of 5 at home · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · FC Crotone: only games against sides at S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's level · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 5 of 5 (100%) · SSD 4 of 5 (80%)95.9%

FC Crotone: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · FC Crotone: only games against sides at S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's level · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · SSD 3 of 5 (60%)89.6%

FC Crotone: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · FC Crotone: only games against sides at S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's level · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level

FC CROTONE GOALS

FC Crotone Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

FCC 3 of 5 (60%) · SSD 5 of 5 (100%)80.4%

FC Crotone scored in 3 of 5 at home · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · FC Crotone: only games against sides at S.S.D. Casarano Calcio's level · S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level

Left off the list: FC Crotone or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Crotone or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

FC Crotone goals →

S.S.D. Casarano Calcio goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC CROTONEDLLWDLDDLL0.70 PPG

S.S.D. CASARANO CALCIOLDLLDWWLWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC CROTONE HOMExS.S.D. CASARANO CALCIO AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.8060%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.90CORNERS A GAME4.302.20CARDS A GAME2.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.75POINTS A GAME1.00-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62+4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.51.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.48LEAGUE GAMES8

FC Crotone: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

FC CROTONE OR DRAW

80%

NO · 80/85

S.S.D. CASARANO CALCIO OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC CROTONExS.S.D. CASARANO CALCIO

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%100%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Crotone have scored in 60% of their games.

S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Crotone kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

S.S.D. Casarano Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards