Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 6. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 are 14th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Varesina, 2 points clear of Coriano. A win would take them above Varesina. Tropical Coriano are 15th on 5 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Solbiatese, 1 point clear of Oltrepò. A win would take them above Solbiatese.
Form. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 have won two, drawn four and lost three of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. Tropical Coriano have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 average 7.2 shots (1.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Tropical Coriano score 0.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Tropical Coriano average 9.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Tropical Coriano's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 the likelier winners; Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asd Solbiatese Calcio 1911 1-0 Tropical Coriano (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).