ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP A
17:30Sun 25 Oct
ACL
AL
US Pergolettese Crema vs AC Lumezzane
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
75
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: US Pergolettese…
US Pergolettese Crema v AC Lumezzane
1.36odds
74%book
+1edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Pergolettese Crema have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. AC Lumezzane have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. US Pergolettese Crema score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and six games without a goal. US Pergolettese Crema average 3.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. AC Lumezzane score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Lumezzane average 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. AC Lumezzane's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. US Pergolettese Crema or the draw. A tight game. US Pergolettese Crema are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: US Pergolettese Crema or Draw at 1.36, 72% on the records (US Pergolettese Crema unbeaten in 8 of 10; AC Lumezzane failed to win 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24 (76%). Backup: US Pergolettese Crema or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Pergolettese Crema Over 0.5 goals (US Pergolettese Crema's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: US Pergolettese Crema 1-1 AC Lumezzane (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Pergolettese Crema or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.23
USP 9 of 10 (90%) · ACL 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%
US Pergolettese Crema: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
Double Chance: US Pergolettese Crema or DrawMAININ CODES
1.36
USP 8 of 10 (80%) · ACL 4 of 5 (80%)75.4%
US Pergolettese Crema unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
US Pergolettese Crema (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.71
USP 3 of 5 (60%) · ACL 4 of 7 (57%)70.8%
US Pergolettese Crema won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AC Lumezzane lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 2
US Pergolettese Crema or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
USP 6 of 10 (60%) · ACL 3 of 5 (60%)63.5%
US Pergolettese Crema: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
US Pergolettese Crema to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.45
USP 3 of 10 (30%) · ACL 3 of 5 (60%)51.8%
US Pergolettese Crema won 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 35% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
US Pergolettese Crema or draw and under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
USP 5 of 10 (50%) · ACL 2 of 5 (40%)50.4%
US Pergolettese Crema: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 40% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USP 10 of 10 (100%) · ACL 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
Under 3.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.24
USP 8 of 10 (80%) · ACL 4 of 5 (80%)78.9%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
USP 7 of 10 (70%) · ACL 2 of 5 (40%)60.2%
US Pergolettese Crema: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level
AC LUMEZZANE GOALS
AC Lumezzane Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
USP 4 of 5 (80%) · ACL 7 of 10 (70%)74.3%
AC Lumezzane scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · US Pergolettese Crema conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Pergolettese Crema Over 0.5 goals (US Pergolettese Crema's own games don't back it (4 of 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
US Pergolettese Crema goals →
AC Lumezzane goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
US PERGOLETTESE CREMAWWDDDDWDLL1.40 PPG
AC LUMEZZANELDWLWDDLWL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA HOMExAC LUMEZZANE AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.100.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%BOTH SCORED60%50%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.40CORNERS A GAME4.201.80CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AC LUMEZZANE 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME1.33+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
US PERGOLETTESE CREMA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
AC LUMEZZANE OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US PERGOLETTESE CREMAxAC LUMEZZANE
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Pergolettese Crema have scored in 40% of their games.
AC Lumezzane have scored in 70% of their games.
US Pergolettese Crema kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
AC Lumezzane kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards