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ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP A
AC Renate crestARACR
12:30Sun 25 Oct
USAUS Albinoleffe crestUA

AC Renate vs US Albinoleffe

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.

Form. AC Renate have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. US Albinoleffe have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.

The numbers. AC Renate score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AC Renate average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Albinoleffe score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. US Albinoleffe average 3.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: US Albinoleffe are the better side, but not at this price. US Albinoleffe are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Albinoleffe.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: AC Renate Over 0.5 Goals (AC Renate's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: AC Renate 1-1 US Albinoleffe (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Albinoleffe win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.37
ACR 4 of 5 (80%) · USA 4 of 5 (80%)77.6%
US Albinoleffe: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AC Renate: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACR 5 of 5 (100%) · USA 4 of 5 (80%)95.2%
AC Renate: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Albinoleffe: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
ACR 5 of 5 (100%) · USA 3 of 5 (60%)88.4%
AC Renate: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Albinoleffe: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
ACR 2 of 5 (40%) · USA 4 of 5 (80%)72.1%
AC Renate: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · US Albinoleffe: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
ACR 2 of 5 (40%) · USA 4 of 5 (80%)54.4%
AC Renate: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · US Albinoleffe: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
AC RENATE GOALS
AC Renate Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
ACR 4 of 5 (80%) · USA 3 of 5 (60%)59.6%
AC Renate scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · US Albinoleffe conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level
US ALBINOLEFFE GOALS
US Albinoleffe Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.38
ACR 4 of 5 (80%) · USA 4 of 5 (80%)70.6%
US Albinoleffe scored in 4 of 5 away · AC Renate conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · US Albinoleffe: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at US Albinoleffe's level
Left off the list: AC Renate Over 0.5 Goals (AC Renate's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
AC Renate goals →
US Albinoleffe goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
AC RENATELDDLLDDLLL0.40 PPG
US ALBINOLEFFEDLWDWLDLDW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC RENATE HOMExUS ALBINOLEFFE AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.5070%BOTH SCORED80%10%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.50CORNERS A GAME3.102.00CARDS A GAME1.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME1.11-0.70GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.60.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES9
US Albinoleffe: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
US ALBINOLEFFE 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AC RENATE OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
US ALBINOLEFFE OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AC RENATExUS ALBINOLEFFE
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE100%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.08.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AC Renate have scored in 70% of their games.
US Albinoleffe have scored in 80% of their games.
AC Renate kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
US Albinoleffe kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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