RRRAT

19:45Tue 20 Oct

ARD

Rathfriland Rangers vs Ards FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. League Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Rathfriland Rangers have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Ards FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.

The numbers. Rathfriland Rangers score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ards FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 12 Sep 2026, it finished Rathfriland Rangers 0-1 Ards FC.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Ards FC are not clearly stronger. Rathfriland Rangers's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Ards FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ards FC the likelier winners; Ards FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ards FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rathfriland Rangers 1-1 Ards FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAT 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Rathfriland Rangers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Rathfriland Rangers: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Rathfriland Rangers's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAT 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Rathfriland Rangers: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Rathfriland Rangers: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Rathfriland Rangers's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Rathfriland Rangers goals →

Ards FC goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

RATHFRILAND RANGERSLLLLLWLWWW1.20 PPG

ARDS FCWLLLWDLDWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RATHFRILAND RANGERS HOMExARDS FC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.901.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.25-0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.012LEAGUE GAMES12

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

RATHFRILAND RANGERS OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

ARDS FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RATHFRILAND RANGERSxARDS FC

6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME1.671.67CONCEDED A GAME0.832.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.583%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

RATHFRILAND RANGERS 0 · 0%DRAW 0ARDS FC 1 · 100%

2026-09-12Rathfriland Rangers 0 – 1 Ards FC

TRENDS

Rathfriland Rangers have scored in 60% of their games.

Ards FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Rathfriland Rangers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Ards FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head