Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta.
What's at stake. Casertana FC are 6th on 16 points after 10 games, level on points with Catania, 1 point clear of Cavese. A win would take them above Catania. SSC Bari are 2nd on 20 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Potenza, 1 point clear of Sorrento.
Form. Casertana FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. SSC Bari have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Casertana FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Casertana FC average 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. SSC Bari score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. SSC Bari average 2.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Casertana FC have won none, drawn one and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2021, it finished Casertana FC 1-1 SSC Bari.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: SSC Bari or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SSC Bari or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or SSC Bari (no result call). Predicted score: Casertana FC 1-1 SSC Bari (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).