KOLKOL

14:00Wed 21 Oct

AAS

AAS

Kolbotn vs Aasane

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 1st Division, Women. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Kolbotn have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W D. Aasane have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D W.

The numbers. Kolbotn score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Kolbotn average 4.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Aasane score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aasane average 1.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 56%.

The read. No firm call: Aasane are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Aasane the likelier winners; Aasane are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aasane. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Kolbotn 1-2 Aasane (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Aasane the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Aasane or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AAS 5 of 9 (56%) · KOL 8 of 9 (89%)54.2%

Aasane: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kolbotn: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KOL 9 of 9 (100%) · AAS 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%

Kolbotn: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aasane: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KOL 8 of 9 (89%) · AAS 6 of 9 (67%)78.8%

Kolbotn: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aasane: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

KOL 7 of 9 (78%) · AAS 3 of 9 (33%)56.6%

Kolbotn: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aasane: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level

KOLBOTN GOALS

Kolbotn Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

KOL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAS 5 of 9 (56%)61.1%

Kolbotn scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aasane conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level

AASANE GOALS

Aasane Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AAS 7 of 9 (78%) · KOL 8 of 9 (89%)83.3%

Aasane scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kolbotn conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Aasane: only games against sides at Kolbotn's level · Kolbotn: only games against sides at Aasane's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.6%

Kolbotn goals →

Aasane goals ↓

0-04%

1-03%

2-02%

3-00.7%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-17%

1-19%

2-14%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-37%

1-38%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-44%

1-45%

2-43%

3-40.9%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-52%

1-52%

2-51%

3-50.4%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

KOLBOTNLWLWWDLLLW1.30 PPG

AASANEWWDDWWDLWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KOLBOTN HOMExAASANE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.951.95CONCEDED A GAME0.7060%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.93CORNERS A GAME1.751.00CARDS A GAME0.75

TRENDS

Kolbotn have scored in 70% of their games.

Aasane have scored in 80% of their games.

Kolbotn kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Aasane kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards