TCTER

17:00Wed 21 Oct

USR

Ternana Calcio vs US Recanatese

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie D, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Ternana Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. US Recanatese have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.

The numbers. Ternana Calcio score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ternana Calcio average 8.3 shots (2.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. US Recanatese score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Recanatese average 8.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ternana Calcio 2-1 US Recanatese (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TER 5 of 5 (100%) · USR 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Ternana Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Recanatese: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

TERNANA CALCIO GOALS

Ternana Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TER 5 of 5 (100%) · USR 7 of 10 (70%)81.7%

Ternana Calcio scored in 5 of 5 at home · US Recanatese conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

US RECANATESE GOALS

US Recanatese Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.45

TER 8 of 10 (80%) · USR 4 of 5 (80%)80%

US Recanatese scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TER 4 of 5 (80%) · USR 6 of 10 (60%)65%

Ternana Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Recanatese: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9%

Ternana Calcio goals →

US Recanatese goals ↓

0-04%

1-06%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-15%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-27%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TERNANA CALCIOLDLDLWDWDW1.30 PPG

US RECANATESEWWDDWDLLLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TERNANA CALCIO HOMExUS RECANATESE AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.701.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS20%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%2.33CORNERS A GAME3.401.67CARDS A GAME2.80

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME0.71+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.28LEAGUE GAMES7

Ternana Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

TERNANA CALCIO 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

TERNANA CALCIO OR DRAW

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

US RECANATESE OR DRAW

31%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TERNANA CALCIOxUS RECANATESE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME2.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Ternana Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.

US Recanatese have scored in 80% of their games.

Ternana Calcio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

US Recanatese kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards