Warrenpoint Town FC vs Crusaders FC

Match details. League Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Milltown, Warrenpoint.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Warrenpoint Town FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. Crusaders FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. Warrenpoint Town FC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Warrenpoint Town FC average 10.5 shots (5.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Crusaders FC score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Crusaders FC average 6.2 shots (1.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Warrenpoint Town FC have won one, drawn none and lost eight. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Crusaders FC won four. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2023, it finished Warrenpoint Town FC 0-5 Crusaders FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Warrenpoint Town FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Crusaders FC: in the last nine meetings, Warrenpoint Town FC won one and Crusaders FC won eight.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Warrenpoint Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Crusaders FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Warrenpoint Town FC 2-1 Crusaders FC (10% chance).