Durham LFC vs Birmingham City WFC
Match details. FA Womens League Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields.
Form. Durham LFC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Durham LFC have gone L L. Birmingham City WFC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition Birmingham City WFC have gone L L.
The numbers. Durham LFC score 1.2 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Birmingham City WFC score 0.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Birmingham City WFC average 10.3 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 34% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Durham LFC have won three, drawn one and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Durham LFC won one, one was drawn and Birmingham City WFC won two. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Durham LFC 1-1 Birmingham City WFC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 40%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Birmingham City WFC are the better side, but not at this price. Birmingham City WFC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Birmingham City WFC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Durham LFC 1-1 Birmingham City WFC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).