FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe vs Simba SC
Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe have gone W W. Simba SC have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Simba SC have gone W W.
The numbers. FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Simba SC score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Simba SC average 8.9 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. Simba SC to win. Their goals for and against make Simba SC the likelier winners; Simba SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Simba SC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Simba SC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Simba SC to Win (the signs point different ways); Simba SC Over 0.5 Goals (FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FC 15 de Agosto Guinea de Akonibe 0-1 Simba SC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).