Match details. Damallsvenskan. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hammarby IF have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Djurgardens IF DFF have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Hammarby IF score 2.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Hammarby IF average 7.5 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Djurgardens IF DFF score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Djurgardens IF DFF average 5.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Hammarby IF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hammarby IF the likelier winners; Hammarby IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hammarby IF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hammarby IF Over 1.5 Goals (Djurgardens IF DFF's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hammarby IF 2-1 Djurgardens IF DFF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).