Kasuka vs Shan United
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time. It is played at Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon.
Form. Kasuka have won two, drawn one and lost six of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Kasuka have gone L W L. Shan United have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Shan United have gone D.
The numbers. Kasuka score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Kasuka average 3.2 shots (0.8 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Shan United score 3.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Shan United average 17.8 shots (6.8 on target), 7.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Kasuka have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 24 Jul 2024, it finished Kasuka 1-3 Shan United.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Shan United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Shan United the likelier winners; Shan United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shan United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Shan United Over 1.5 Goals (Kasuka's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kasuka 1-3 Shan United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).