Kanagawa Sagamihara vs Albirex Niigata
Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time.
Form. Kanagawa Sagamihara have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. Albirex Niigata have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Kanagawa Sagamihara score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kanagawa Sagamihara average 10.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Albirex Niigata score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Albirex Niigata average 11.0 shots (5.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 0.3 cards a game.
The case against. Albirex Niigata's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Kanagawa Sagamihara to win. A tight game. Kanagawa Sagamihara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kanagawa Sagamihara. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Kanagawa Sagamihara or Draw at 1.46, rated 78% (Kanagawa Sagamihara unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Albirex Niigata failed to win 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Kanagawa Sagamihara 1-0 Albirex Niigata (10% chance).
The agreed story. Kanagawa Sagamihara or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Albirex Niigata in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at Matsumoto Yamaga FC (a division below), won 2-1 at Thespa Gunma (a division below), lost 0-4 v Kagoshima United (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).