MYMAT

11:00Wed 21 Oct

THE

Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Thespa Gunma

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.

What's at stake. Matsumoto Yamaga FC are 15th on 11 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Kitakyushu, 1 point clear of Tochigi SC. A win would take them above Kitakyushu. Thespa Gunma are 17th on 10 points after 11 games, level on points with Tochigi SC, 2 points clear of Fukushima United. A win would take them above Tochigi SC.

Form. Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Matsumoto Yamaga FC have gone L W L W D L. Thespa Gunma have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Thespa Gunma have gone D W L L W L.

The numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga FC score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Matsumoto Yamaga FC average 6.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Thespa Gunma score 1.1 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Thespa Gunma average 4.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Matsumoto Yamaga FC won one and Thespa Gunma won three. The last time they met, on 23 Nov 2025, it finished Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2-6 Thespa Gunma.

Where it pulls both ways. Matsumoto Yamaga FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Thespa Gunma: in the last ten meetings, Matsumoto Yamaga FC won five, Thespa Gunma won four and one was drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1-1 Thespa Gunma (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAT 6 of 6 (100%) · THE 10 of 10 (100%)94.8%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Thespa Gunma: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Thespa Gunma's level · Thespa Gunma: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

MAT 5 of 6 (83%) · THE 8 of 10 (80%)87.1%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Thespa Gunma: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Thespa Gunma's level · Thespa Gunma: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC GOALS

Matsumoto Yamaga FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

MAT 4 of 6 (67%) · THE 9 of 10 (90%)76.6%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC scored in 4 of 6 at home · Thespa Gunma conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Thespa Gunma's level · Thespa Gunma: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level

THESPA GUNMA GOALS

Thespa Gunma Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

MAT 8 of 10 (80%) · THE 4 of 6 (67%)69.5%

Thespa Gunma scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Matsumoto Yamaga FC conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Thespa Gunma: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Thespa Gunma's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.20

MAT 5 of 6 (83%) · THE 8 of 10 (80%)80.4%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Thespa Gunma: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Thespa Gunma's level · Thespa Gunma: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals →

Thespa Gunma goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCLDDDLDWLWL1.00 PPG

THESPA GUNMALLWLLWLLWD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC HOMExTHESPA GUNMA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.101.30CONCEDED A GAME1.9040%CLEAN SHEETS10%36%FAILED TO SCORE27%6.82CORNERS A GAME4.091.00CARDS A GAME1.27

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC 5 · 50%DRAW 1THESPA GUNMA 4 · 40%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-04-23Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 1 Thespa Gunma

2016-09-18Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1 – 1 Thespa Gunma

2017-06-18Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 0 Thespa Gunma

2017-09-16Matsumoto Yamaga FC 3 – 0 Thespa Gunma

2020-07-19Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 0 Thespa Gunma

2020-12-02Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 1 Thespa Gunma

2021-04-25Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1 – 0 Thespa Gunma

2021-10-30Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 1 Thespa Gunma

TRENDS

Matsumoto Yamaga FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Thespa Gunma have scored in 80% of their games.

Matsumoto Yamaga FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Thespa Gunma kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards