TSTOC

05:00Wed 21 Oct

MIO

Tochigi SC vs Mio Biwako Shiga

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya.

What's at stake. Tochigi SC are 16th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Matsumoto Yamaga, level on points with Thespakusatsu Gunma. A win would take them above Matsumoto Yamaga. Mio Biwako Shiga are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Kanazawa, level on points with FC Ryukyu. A win would take them above Kanazawa.

Form. Tochigi SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Tochigi SC have gone L L D L L D. Mio Biwako Shiga have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition Mio Biwako Shiga have gone L D D L W L.

The numbers. Tochigi SC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mio Biwako Shiga score 2.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The read. No firm call: Mio Biwako Shiga are the better side, but not at this price. Mio Biwako Shiga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mio Biwako Shiga.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Tochigi SC Under 1.5 goals (Mio Biwako Shiga's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1-1 Mio Biwako Shiga (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Mio Biwako Shiga win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.46

TOC 5 of 5 (100%) · MIO 7 of 10 (70%)80%

Mio Biwako Shiga: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Tochigi SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOC 10 of 10 (100%) · MIO 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Tochigi SC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mio Biwako Shiga: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

TOC 9 of 10 (90%) · MIO 2 of 5 (40%)88.6%

Tochigi SC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mio Biwako Shiga: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.80

TOC 5 of 10 (50%) · MIO 4 of 5 (80%)52.2%

Tochigi SC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mio Biwako Shiga: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level

TOCHIGI SC GOALS

Tochigi SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

TOC 6 of 10 (60%) · MIO 4 of 5 (80%)73.7%

Tochigi SC scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mio Biwako Shiga conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level

MIO BIWAKO SHIGA GOALS

Mio Biwako Shiga Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

TOC 5 of 5 (100%) · MIO 7 of 10 (70%)69.9%

Mio Biwako Shiga scored in 5 of 5 away · Tochigi SC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.25

TOC 8 of 10 (80%) · MIO 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%

Tochigi SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mio Biwako Shiga: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Tochigi SC: only games against sides at Mio Biwako Shiga's level · Mio Biwako Shiga: only games against sides at Tochigi SC's level

Left off the list: Tochigi SC Under 1.5 goals (Mio Biwako Shiga's own games don't back it (1 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Tochigi SC goals →

Mio Biwako Shiga goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

TOCHIGI SCDDLWDLLDLL0.70 PPG

MIO BIWAKO SHIGAWWLWLWLDDL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TOCHIGI SC HOMExMIO BIWAKO SHIGA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS30%36%FAILED TO SCORE36%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.91POINTS A GAME1.10-0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.00.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.011LEAGUE GAMES10

Mio Biwako Shiga: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

TOCHIGI SC OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

MIO BIWAKO SHIGA OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TOCHIGI SCxMIO BIWAKO SHIGA

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%2.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.29.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Tochigi SC failed to score in 36% of their games.

Mio Biwako Shiga failed to score in 36% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table