FC Roskilde vs BK Fremad Amager
Match details. 2nd Division, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Roskilde are 2nd on 22 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Nykobing FC, 3 points clear of VSK Århus. A win would take them level on points with Nykobing FC. BK Fremad Amager are 8th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Skive, 5 points clear of Brabrand. A win would take them above Skive.
Form. FC Roskilde have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition FC Roskilde have gone D W W D W D. BK Fremad Amager have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition BK Fremad Amager have gone W L L W D W.
The numbers. FC Roskilde score two and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FC Roskilde average 0.1 cards a game. BK Fremad Amager score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. BK Fremad Amager average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FC Roskilde have won three, drawn one and lost three. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Roskilde won two, one was drawn and BK Fremad Amager won one. The last time they met, on 21 Aug 2026, it finished FC Roskilde 1-1 BK Fremad Amager.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 35%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No firm call: FC Roskilde are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Roskilde the likelier winners; FC Roskilde are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (FC Roskilde are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Roskilde or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Roskilde 1-1 BK Fremad Amager (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).