Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. Mynavi Sendai Ladies have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chifure AS Elfen Saitama average 9.7 shots (4.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 0.3 cards a game. Mynavi Sendai Ladies score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mynavi Sendai Ladies average 13.0 shots (5.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 0.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 43% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Chifure AS Elfen Saitama the likelier winners; Chifure AS Elfen Saitama are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chifure AS Elfen Saitama. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama 1-1 Mynavi Sendai Ladies (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Chifure AS Elfen Saitama the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).