Ethiopian Coffee SC vs Negelle Arsi

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Ethiopian Coffee SC are 7th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Sheger Ketema, level on points with Mekelakeya. A win would take them above Sheger Ketema. Negelle Arsi are 12th on 2 points after 2 games, level on points with Fasil Ketema, 1 point clear of Welwalo Adigrat Uni. A win would take them above Fasil Ketema.

Form. Ethiopian Coffee SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. In this competition Ethiopian Coffee SC have gone W L D W D L. Negelle Arsi have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Negelle Arsi have gone D D L W D W.

The numbers. Ethiopian Coffee SC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ethiopian Coffee SC average 9.4 shots (2.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Negelle Arsi score 0.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Negelle Arsi average 7.2 shots (2.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. Ethiopian Coffee SC have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2026, it finished Ethiopian Coffee SC 1-0 Negelle Arsi.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ethiopian Coffee SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Negelle Arsi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ethiopian Coffee SC 1-0 Negelle Arsi (14% chance).