Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. EC Juventude RS have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Nautico PE have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. EC Juventude RS score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. EC Juventude RS average 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Nautico PE score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Nautico PE average 6.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: EC Juventude RS are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make EC Juventude RS the likelier winners; EC Juventude RS are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: EC Juventude RS 1-1 Nautico PE (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
EC JUVENTUDE RS GOALS
EC Juventude RS Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
ECJ 8 of 10 (80%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)84.2%
EC Juventude RS scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Nautico PE conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · EC Juventude RS: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at EC Juventude RS's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (EC Juventude RS are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112%
EC Juventude RS goals →
Nautico PE goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
EC JUVENTUDE RSDDWWWLLWDD1.60 PPG
NAUTICO PEDLLDWLDLWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EC JUVENTUDE RS HOMExNAUTICO PE AWAY
1.21SCORED A GAME1.150.68CONCEDED A GAME1.2440%BOTH SCORED50%50%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.26CORNERS A GAME6.352.24CARDS A GAME2.68
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
EC JUVENTUDE RS OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.15POINTS A GAME1.15+0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.72.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.613LEAGUE GAMES13
EC Juventude RS: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
EC JUVENTUDE RS 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
EC JUVENTUDE RS OR DRAW
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
NAUTICO PE OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EC JUVENTUDE RSxNAUTICO PE
5GAMES71.80SCORED A GAME0.430.40CONCEDED A GAME1.292.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.760%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%20%BOTH SCORE43%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
EC Juventude RS have scored in 80% of their games.
Nautico PE have scored in 60% of their games.
EC Juventude RS kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Nautico PE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards