CTCDT

02:15Mon 26 Oct

ADP

CD Tolima vs AD Pasto

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

CTv

Under 3.5 Goals

CD Tolima v AD Pasto

Colombia - Liga DIMAYOR · 02:15

1.31odds

76%book

0edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 02:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. The referee is S. Bismark.

What's at stake. CD Tolima are 10th on 20 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Cucuta, 1 point clear of Águilas Doradas. A win would take them above Cucuta. AD Pasto are 20th on 9 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Jaguares. A win would take them above Jaguares.

Form. CD Tolima have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. In this competition CD Tolima have gone L L D D D D. AD Pasto have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition AD Pasto have gone L L D L W W.

The numbers. CD Tolima score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Tolima average 15.5 shots (4.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. AD Pasto score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AD Pasto average 12.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Tolima have won six, drawn one and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CD Tolima won two and AD Pasto won two. The last time they met, on 13 May 2026, it finished CD Tolima 2-0 AD Pasto.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 36%.

The read. No firm call: CD Tolima are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Tolima the likelier winners; CD Tolima are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Tolima. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.31, 76% on the records (CD Tolima: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; AD Pasto: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CD Tolima Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Tolima 1-1 AD Pasto (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Tolima or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.11

CDT 6 of 10 (60%) · ADP 4 of 5 (80%)72.1%

CD Tolima: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 10 of 10 (100%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%

CD Tolima: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 9 of 10 (90%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)89.1%

CD Tolima: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.31

CDT 8 of 10 (80%) · ADP 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%

CD Tolima: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

CD TOLIMA GOALS

CD Tolima Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.12

CDT 6 of 10 (60%) · ADP 4 of 5 (80%)77.5%

CD Tolima scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

AD PASTO GOALS

AD Pasto Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ADP 7 of 10 (70%)73.2%

AD Pasto scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · CD Tolima conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level

AD Pasto Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.97

CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 8 of 10 (80%)63.6%

AD Pasto scored in 3 of 5 away · CD Tolima conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 6 (83%) · ADP 7 of 8 (88%)85.4%

CD Tolima's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CD Tolima: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at CD Tolima's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

CD Tolima goals →

AD Pasto goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD TOLIMAWWLLDDDDLL1.00 PPG

AD PASTOLDLDWWLDLL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD TOLIMA HOMExAD PASTO AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE34%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.253.67CARDS A GAME3.501.02xG1.040.73xG AGAINST0.87

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.64POINTS A GAME0.83+0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67+4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.20.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.811LEAGUE GAMES6

CD Tolima: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD TOLIMA OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

AD PASTO OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD TOLIMAxAD PASTO

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.49.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CD TOLIMA 6 · 60%DRAW 1AD PASTO 3 · 30%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-09-18CD Tolima 2 – 1 AD Pasto

2024-01-26CD Tolima 4 – 1 AD Pasto

2024-07-24CD Tolima 2 – 1 AD Pasto

2024-09-18CD Tolima 1 – 2 AD Pasto

2024-10-03CD Tolima 1 – 1 AD Pasto

2025-01-28CD Tolima 2 – 0 AD Pasto

2025-07-12CD Tolima 2 – 3 AD Pasto

2026-04-11CD Tolima 0 – 1 AD Pasto

TRENDS

CD Tolima have scored in 60% of their games.

AD Pasto have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Tolima kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AD Pasto kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards