Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD San Carlos are 5th on 19 points after 12 games, level on points with LD Alajuelense, 1 point clear of Puntarenas FC. A win would take them above LD Alajuelense. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose are 1st on 24 points after 12 games, level on points with CS Cartagines.
Form. AD San Carlos have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition AD San Carlos have gone D L W W W W. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Deportivo Saprissa San Jose have gone L W L W L W.
The numbers. AD San Carlos score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AD San Carlos average 0.1 cards a game. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose average 5.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD San Carlos have won none, drawn two and lost eight. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Deportivo Saprissa San Jose won four. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished AD San Carlos 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa San Jose.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Deportivo Saprissa San Jose the likelier winners, but Deportivo Saprissa San Jose are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD San Carlos. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The case against. AD San Carlos's record still gives them 59% to win.
The read. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose or the draw. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Saprissa San Jose the likelier winners; Deportivo Saprissa San Jose are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD San Carlos.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 1.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AD San Carlos 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa San Jose (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).