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SPAIN - LALIGA
Athletic Bilbao crestABATH
14:00Sun 25 Oct
GETGetafe crestGET

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. The referee is Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso.

What's at stake. Athletic Bilbao are 15th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Elche, level on points with Getafe. A win would take them above Elche. Getafe are 16th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with Athletic Club, level on points with Rayo Vallecano. A win would take them above Athletic Club.

Team news. Athletic Bilbao are without U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury), A. Laporte (red card), O. Sancet (muscle injury), U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury). Robert Navarro is their top scorer. Aymeric Laporte is their centre-back. Athletic Bilbao's line-up is confirmed. Getafe are without Djene (red card), Juanmi (knee injury), O. Mangala (muscle injury), Z. Romero (muscle injury), C. Uche (knee injury), Djene (red card). E. Ünal is their top scorer. D. Dakonam is their centre-back. Getafe's line-up is confirmed.

Form. Athletic Bilbao have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. Getafe have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.

The numbers. Athletic Bilbao score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Athletic Bilbao average 13.0 shots (4.2 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Getafe score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Getafe average 11.5 shots (2.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 4.4 cards a game, with 35% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Athletic Bilbao have won two, drawn six and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Athletic Bilbao won one, one was drawn and Getafe won two. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Getafe: Athletic Bilbao had 5 shots to 10, 68% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 32%.

The read. No firm call: Athletic Bilbao are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Athletic Bilbao the likelier winners; Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Athletic Bilbao are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Athletic Bilbao are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
ATHLETIC BILBAO GOALS
Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.21
ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · GET 6 of 7 (86%)75.5%
Athletic Bilbao scored in 4 of 5 at home · Getafe conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Getafe's level · Getafe: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao without Robert Navarro, Aymeric Laporte (rule 3)
GETAFE GOALS
Getafe Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
ATH 7 of 7 (100%) · GET 4 of 5 (80%)73%
Getafe scored under 1.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Athletic Bilbao conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Getafe: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Getafe's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.12
ATH 5 of 5 (100%) · GET 7 of 7 (100%)98.8%
Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Getafe: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Getafe's level · Getafe: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
ATH 5 of 5 (100%) · GET 6 of 7 (86%)90.9%
Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Getafe: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Getafe's level · Getafe: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Athletic Bilbao are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Athletic Bilbao are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Athletic Bilbao are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Athletic Bilbao goals →
Getafe goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
ATHLETIC BILBAODLLLWWDDDL1.00 PPG
GETAFELLDDLWLDDL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATHLETIC BILBAO HOMExGETAFE AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS10%38%FAILED TO SCORE44%5.67CORNERS A GAME4.382.11CARDS A GAME4.381.53xG0.671.34xG AGAINST1.44
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ATHLETIC BILBAO 2 · 20%DRAW 6GETAFE 2 · 20%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-12-06Athletic Bilbao 0 – 0 Getafe
2022-03-18Athletic Bilbao 1 – 1 Getafe
2022-10-18Athletic Bilbao 2 – 2 Getafe
2023-04-01Athletic Bilbao 0 – 0 Getafe
2023-09-27Athletic Bilbao 2 – 2 Getafe
2024-05-03Athletic Bilbao 2 – 0 Getafe
2024-08-15Athletic Bilbao 1 – 1 Getafe
2025-05-15Athletic Bilbao 2 – 0 Getafe
TEAM NEWS

ATHLETIC BILBAO

Out: U. Egiluz (Knee Injury), G. Guruzeta (Knee Injury), A. Laporte (Red Card), O. Sancet (Muscle Injury), U. Egiluz (Knee Injury), G. Guruzeta (Knee Injury)

GETAFE

Out: Djene (Red Card), Juanmi (Knee Injury), O. Mangala (Muscle Injury), Z. Romero (Muscle Injury), C. Uche (Knee Injury), Djene (Red Card)
TRENDS
Athletic Bilbao have scored in 70% of their games.
Getafe have scored in 70% of their games.
Athletic Bilbao kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Getafe kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
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