New Taipei Hang Yuan vs Manila Digger FC
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon.
Form. New Taipei Hang Yuan have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. In this competition New Taipei Hang Yuan have gone D W. Manila Digger FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Manila Digger FC have gone W.
The numbers. New Taipei Hang Yuan score 1.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. New Taipei Hang Yuan average 4.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Manila Digger FC score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Manila Digger FC average 12.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Manila Digger FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Manila Digger FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Manila Digger FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Manila Digger FC Over 0.5 Goals (New Taipei Hang Yuan's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: New Taipei Hang Yuan 1-1 Manila Digger FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).