UAUSA

14:00Sat 24 Oct

CAL

US Avellino vs Calcio Padova

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. The referee is Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.

What's at stake. US Avellino are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Ascoli, level on points with Benevento. A win would take them above Ascoli. Calcio Padova are 16th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Empoli, 1 point clear of Cremonese. A win would take them above Empoli.

Form. US Avellino have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Calcio Padova have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. US Avellino score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. US Avellino average 10.3 shots (4.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Calcio Padova score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Calcio Padova average 8.5 shots (3.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings US Avellino have won one, drawn two and lost two. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, US Avellino won one, one was drawn and Calcio Padova won two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished US Avellino 1-0 Calcio Padova: US Avellino had 19 shots to 6, 62% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The case against. Calcio Padova's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. US Avellino to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make US Avellino the likelier winners; US Avellino are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (US Avellino are a clear winner, no Unders); US Avellino or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Avellino or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Avellino 1-0 Calcio Padova (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

US Avellino or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.23

USA 5 of 5 (100%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%

US Avellino scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

US Avellino or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

USA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 8 of 9 (89%)84%

US Avellino: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

US Avellino or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.26

USA 5 of 5 (100%) · CAL 6 of 9 (67%)79.1%

US Avellino: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 5 · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

US Avellino (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.59

USA 4 of 7 (57%) · CAL 4 of 8 (50%)75%

US Avellino won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Calcio Padova lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 1 of 3 · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3

US Avellino to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

2.20

USA 3 of 5 (60%) · CAL 4 of 9 (44%)61.8%

US Avellino won 3 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 1 of 5 · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

1X2 - 2UP: US AvellinoLEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

USA 3 of 5 (60%) · CAL 3 of 5 (60%)54.8%

US Avellino scored first 5 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

US AVELLINO GOALS

US Avellino Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

USA 5 of 5 (100%) · CAL 6 of 9 (67%)81.9%

US Avellino scored in 5 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 5 · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

CALCIO PADOVA GOALS

Calcio Padova Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.36

USA 8 of 9 (89%) · CAL 4 of 5 (80%)75.5%

Calcio Padova scored under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Avellino conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level

Calcio Padova Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

USA 8 of 9 (89%) · CAL 3 of 5 (60%)56.7%

Calcio Padova scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Avellino conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.44

USA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAL 6 of 9 (67%)74.7%

US Avellino: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · US Avellino: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at US Avellino's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (US Avellino are a clear winner - no Unders); US Avellino or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Avellino or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Avellino or draw and under 3.5 goals (US Avellino are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (US Avellino are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (US Avellino are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

US Avellino goals →

Calcio Padova goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

US AVELLINOWLLLWWDLWD1.40 PPG

CALCIO PADOVAWWLWDLWLLL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

US AVELLINO HOMExCALCIO PADOVA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE14%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.702.10CARDS A GAME2.301.26xG1.011.28xG AGAINST1.94

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

US AVELLINO OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.83POINTS A GAME1.00+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57-2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.66LEAGUE GAMES7

US Avellino: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

US AVELLINO 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

US AVELLINO OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

CALCIO PADOVA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

US AVELLINOxCALCIO PADOVA

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.49.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

US AVELLINO 1 · 20%DRAW 2CALCIO PADOVA 2 · 40%

2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-06-06US Avellino 1 – 1 Calcio Padova

2021-06-09US Avellino 0 – 1 Calcio Padova

2025-05-03US Avellino 0 – 1 Calcio Padova

2025-09-30US Avellino 2 – 2 Calcio Padova

2026-03-07US Avellino 1 – 0 Calcio Padova

TRENDS

US Avellino have scored in 80% of their games.

Calcio Padova have scored in 80% of their games.

US Avellino kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Calcio Padova kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards