Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Alberto Braglia, Modena. The referee is Dario Madonia.
What's at stake. Modena FC are 4th on 13 points after 7 games, level on points with Pisa, 1 point clear of Sudtirol. A win would take them above Pisa. Cesena FC are 13th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Hellas Verona, 1 point clear of Carrarese. A win would take them above Hellas Verona.
Form. Modena FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Cesena FC have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D.
The numbers. Modena FC score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Modena FC average 14.3 shots (5.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Cesena FC score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Cesena FC average 11.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Modena FC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Cesena FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Modena FC 0-0 Cesena FC: Modena FC had 17 shots to 3, 54% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Modena FC the likelier winners, but Modena FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Cesena FC.
The case against. Cesena FC's record still gives them 29% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Modena FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Modena FC the likelier winners; Modena FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Cesena FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 74% on the records (Modena FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Cesena FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Modena FC 1-1 Cesena FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).