FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Sampdoria Genoa
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Druso, Bozen. The referee is Valerio Crezzini.
What's at stake. FC Sudtirol Bolzano are 5th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Modena, level on points with Ascoli. A win would take them above Modena. Sampdoria Genoa are 19th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Juve Stabia, level on points with Catanzaro. A win would take them above Juve Stabia.
Form. FC Sudtirol Bolzano have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Sampdoria Genoa have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. FC Sudtirol Bolzano score 0.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Sudtirol Bolzano average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Sampdoria Genoa score 0.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sampdoria Genoa average 11.6 shots (4.3 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Sudtirol Bolzano have won four, drawn none and lost two. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Sudtirol Bolzano won two and Sampdoria Genoa won two. The last time they met, on 1 May 2026, it finished FC Sudtirol Bolzano 0-1 Sampdoria Genoa: FC Sudtirol Bolzano had 8 shots to 8, 47% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: FC Sudtirol Bolzano are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Sudtirol Bolzano the likelier winners; FC Sudtirol Bolzano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Sudtirol Bolzano. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Sudtirol Bolzano are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Sudtirol Bolzano are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Sudtirol Bolzano 1-1 Sampdoria Genoa (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).