CA Sarmiento Junin vs CA Rosario Central
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 01:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning. The referee is Andres Merlos.
What's at stake. CA Sarmiento Junin are 7th on 21 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Barracas Central, 2 points clear of Huracan. A win would take them above Barracas Central. CA Rosario Central are 1st on 28 points after 14 games, level on points with Argentinos JRS.
Form. CA Sarmiento Junin have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. In this competition CA Sarmiento Junin have gone L D D W L D. CA Rosario Central have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition CA Rosario Central have gone W W W D W W.
The numbers. CA Sarmiento Junin score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Sarmiento Junin average 10.8 shots (3.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. CA Rosario Central score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CA Rosario Central average 14.6 shots (5.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Sarmiento Junin have won two, drawn two and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CA Rosario Central won four. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished CA Sarmiento Junin 1-2 CA Rosario Central: CA Sarmiento Junin had 5 shots to 22, 36% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. CA Sarmiento Junin's record still gives them 20% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. CA Rosario Central to win. A draw is live. A tight game. CA Rosario Central are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Rosario Central; the meetings favour CA Rosario Central. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 72% on the records (CA Sarmiento Junin: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Rosario Central: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: CA Rosario Central or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Sarmiento Junin 0-1 CA Rosario Central (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).