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BRAZIL - COPA DO BRASIL, WOMEN
Atletico Mineiro MG crestAMATL
23:00Tue 20 Oct
SCISC Internacional RS crestSI

Atletico Mineiro MG vs SC Internacional RS

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Copa do Brasil, Women. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Mineiro MG have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. SC Internacional RS have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D.

The numbers. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 18.7 shots (8.2 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game. SC Internacional RS score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. SC Internacional RS average 15.1 shots (6.1 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make SC Internacional RS the likelier winners, but Atletico Mineiro MG are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Mineiro MG 1-2 SC Internacional RS (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (SC Internacional RS the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Atletico Mineiro MG in their last cup games: won 2-1 v Cruzeiro EC MG, drew 1-1 at Cruzeiro EC MG. SC Internacional RS in their last cup games: lost 1-3 at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS, drew 0-0 v Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SCI 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Atletico Mineiro MG: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SC Internacional RS: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.40
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SCI 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SC Internacional RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 45%
2.20
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · SCI 4 of 5 (80%)72.7%
Atletico Mineiro MG: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SC Internacional RS: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG GOALS
Atletico Mineiro MG Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.43
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · SCI 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Atletico Mineiro MG scored in 3 of 5 at home · SC Internacional RS conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 7 of 9 (78%) · SCI 4 of 5 (80%)78.9%
Atletico Mineiro MG's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SC Internacional RS's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level
Left off the list: Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SC Internacional RS or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (75%) and the records (53%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); SC Internacional RS or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.7%
Atletico Mineiro MG goals →
SC Internacional RS goals ↓
0-06%
1-05%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-18%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.8%
1-50.9%
2-50.6%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO MINEIRO MGLWLDWWWLDW1.70 PPG
SC INTERNACIONAL RSWLDLWDWDDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG HOMExSC INTERNACIONAL RS AWAY
3.40SCORED A GAME2.101.40CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS40%7.89CORNERS A GAME6.101.22CARDS A GAME2.20
TRENDS
Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 80% of their games.
SC Internacional RS have scored in 80% of their games.
Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
SC Internacional RS kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards
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