PFC Sogdiana vs FC Andijon
Match details. Cup. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. PFC Sogdiana have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W. FC Andijon have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. PFC Sogdiana score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. PFC Sogdiana average 10.2 shots (7.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FC Andijon score 0.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Andijon average 10.2 shots (3.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. FC Andijon's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. PFC Sogdiana to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make PFC Sogdiana the likelier winners; PFC Sogdiana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Sogdiana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Andijon Under 1.5 goals (PFC Sogdiana's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: PFC Sogdiana 2-1 FC Andijon (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).