Match details. Saudi Pro League action coming up. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time as Al-Fateh SC take on Al-Shabab FC (SA).
Form. Al-Fateh SC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, with 0.6 points a game. Their last five reads L W L L L. Al-Shabab FC (SA) have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, with 0.9 points a game. Their last five runs D W D L L.
The numbers. Al-Fateh SC score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. They average 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Al-Shabab FC (SA) score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 9.4 shots (4.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. However, their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Al-Shabab FC (SA) or the draw. An open game. Al-Shabab FC (SA) are the stronger side on form and the table. For me, their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Al-Shabab FC (SA) at 1.35, 61% on the records (Al-Shabab FC (SA) unbeaten in 6 of 9; Al-Fateh SC failed to win 5 of 5 at home). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17 (75%). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Al-Fateh SC Under 1.5 goals (Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Al-Shabab FC (SA) or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al-Fateh SC 1-2 Al-Shabab FC (SA) (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Al-Shabab FC (SA) or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALF 7 of 9 (78%) · ALS 4 of 5 (80%)86.6%
Al-Shabab FC (SA): the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
Al-Shabab FC (SA) win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.17
ALF 6 of 9 (67%) · ALS 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%
Al-Shabab FC (SA): the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
Double Chance: Draw or Al-Shabab FC (SA)MAINPAGE ONLY
1.39
ALF 6 of 9 (67%) · ALS 5 of 5 (100%)75.5%
Al-Shabab FC (SA) unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC failed to win 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
Al-Shabab FC (SA) or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
ALF 5 of 9 (56%) · ALS 4 of 5 (80%)66%
Al-Shabab FC (SA): the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 61% · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
Al-Shabab FC (SA) 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALS 5 of 9 (56%)65.2%
Al-Shabab FC (SA) scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC trailed in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.17
ALF 3 of 5 (60%) · ALS 7 of 9 (78%)84.2%
Al-Fateh SC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Al-Shabab FC (SA): over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level
AL-SHABAB FC (SA) GOALS
Al-Shabab FC (SA) Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
ALF 6 of 9 (67%) · ALS 4 of 5 (80%)82.2%
Al-Shabab FC (SA) scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Fateh SC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · Al-Shabab FC (SA): only games against sides at Al-Fateh SC's level · Al-Fateh SC: only games against sides at Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s level
Left off the list: Al-Fateh SC Under 1.5 goals (Al-Shabab FC (SA)'s own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Al-Shabab FC (SA) or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Al-Shabab FC (SA) or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (67%) and the records (90%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.8%
Al-Fateh SC goals →
Al-Shabab FC (SA) goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AL-FATEH SCLWLLLDDDLL0.60 PPG
AL-SHABAB FC (SA)DWDLLDDDDL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL-FATEH SC HOMExAL-SHABAB FC (SA) AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.222.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4420%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.90CORNERS A GAME6.002.10CARDS A GAME1.89
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AL-FATEH SC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.60POINTS A GAME0.88-1.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.70.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.010LEAGUE GAMES8
Al-Shabab FC (SA): the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
AL-FATEH SC OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
AL-SHABAB FC (SA) OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL-FATEH SCxAL-SHABAB FC (SA)
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.403.00CONCEDED A GAME1.404.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.212.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Al-Fateh SC have scored in 50% of their games.
Al-Shabab FC (SA) have scored in 60% of their games.
Al-Fateh SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Al-Shabab FC (SA) kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards