Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 14:40 Lagos time. It is played at Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass.
What's at stake. Al-Hazm are 11th on 9 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Al Khaleej Saihat, level on points with Al Riyadh. A win would take them level on points with Al Khaleej Saihat. Al-Fayha FC are 15th on 7 points after 10 games, level on points with Al-Faisaly FC, 1 point clear of Al-Fateh. A win would take them above Al-Faisaly FC.
Form. Al-Hazm have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Al-Hazm have gone L L D L W D. Al-Fayha FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. In this competition Al-Fayha FC have gone L L D D L D.
The numbers. Al-Hazm score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Al-Hazm average 9.9 shots (3.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Al-Fayha FC score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al-Fayha FC average 11.2 shots (3.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Hazm have won four, drawn three and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Al-Hazm won one, two were drawn and Al-Fayha FC won one. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Al-Hazm 2-0 Al-Fayha FC: Al-Hazm had 16 shots to 15, 46% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Al-Fayha FC's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Al-Hazm to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al-Hazm the likelier winners; Al-Hazm are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Al-Hazm or Draw at 1.36, 75% on the records (Al-Hazm unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Al-Fayha FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Al-Hazm or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al-Hazm or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Hazm 1-0 Al-Fayha FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).