CD Marathon San Pedro Sula vs Alianza FC San Salvador
Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Final. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Alianza FC San Salvador have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.
The numbers. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula average 12.3 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Alianza FC San Salvador score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alianza FC San Salvador average 10.2 shots (3.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 20 Aug 2026, it finished CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 0-1 Alianza FC San Salvador.
The case against. A knockout game (Final) with penalties if level, and CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are not clearly stronger.
The read. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Marathon San Pedro Sula the likelier winners; CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Draw at 1.36, 87% on the records (CD Marathon San Pedro Sula unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home; Alianza FC San Salvador failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Alianza FC San Salvador Under 1.5 goals (Alianza FC San Salvador's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 2-1 Alianza FC San Salvador (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).