IPIND

00:00Wed 21 Oct

CLU

Independiente Petrolero vs Club Aurora

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Copa Bolivia, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Independiente Petrolero have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. Club Aurora have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D.

The numbers. Independiente Petrolero score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Independiente Petrolero average 13.3 shots (4.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Club Aurora score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Club Aurora average 12.9 shots (5.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Independiente Petrolero have won two, drawn three and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Independiente Petrolero won one, one was drawn and Club Aurora won two. The last time they met, on 4 Aug 2026, it finished Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Club Aurora.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Club Aurora or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Aurora or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Club Aurora (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

IND 9 of 10 (90%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)90.8%

Independiente Petrolero: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Aurora: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

IND 9 of 10 (90%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%

Independiente Petrolero: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Aurora: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

IND 5 of 10 (50%) · CLU 2 of 5 (40%)51.7%

Independiente Petrolero: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Aurora: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO GOALS

Independiente Petrolero Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.73

IND 8 of 10 (80%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)70%

Independiente Petrolero scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Aurora conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6

CLUB AURORA GOALS

Club Aurora Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

IND 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 7 of 10 (70%)82.5%

Club Aurora scored in 4 of 5 away · Independiente Petrolero conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.17

IND 8 of 10 (80%) · CLU 2 of 5 (40%)69%

Independiente Petrolero: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Aurora: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Club Aurora or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Aurora or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Club Aurora or Draw (1UP) (no result call); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Club Aurora (no result call); Club Aurora (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Club Aurora 1UP (no result call); Club Aurora or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.8%

Independiente… goals →

Club Aurora goals ↓

0-010%

1-010%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERODLLWWWLWLD1.40 PPG

CLUB AURORAWWLWWDDWDL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO HOMExCLUB AURORA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.001.56CARDS A GAME1.70

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME1.00-0.42GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.27–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES11

Club Aurora: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

CLUB AURORA OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLEROxCLUB AURORA

7GAMES71.14SCORED A GAME1.001.86CONCEDED A GAME1.573.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.686%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%71%BOTH SCORE57%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO 2 · 22%DRAW 3CLUB AURORA 4 · 44%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-10-11Independiente Petrolero 1 – 1 Club Aurora

2023-03-05Independiente Petrolero 0 – 2 Club Aurora

2023-08-05Independiente Petrolero 1 – 1 Club Aurora

2024-04-15Independiente Petrolero 0 – 1 Club Aurora

2024-07-21Independiente Petrolero 2 – 1 Club Aurora

2024-10-31Independiente Petrolero 0 – 2 Club Aurora

2025-05-27Independiente Petrolero 2 – 4 Club Aurora

2025-11-03Independiente Petrolero 3 – 2 Club Aurora

TRENDS

Independiente Petrolero have scored in 70% of their games.

Club Aurora have scored in 90% of their games.

Independiente Petrolero kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Club Aurora kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards