Match details. Saudi Pro League action here. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Ahli Saudi FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five read W W W L D. Al-Khaleej Club have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.1 points a game. Their last five show W W D D D.
The numbers. Al Ahli Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 13.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Al-Khaleej Club score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 75% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: Al Ahli Saudi FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Ahli Saudi FC the likelier winners; Al Ahli Saudi FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Al-Khaleej Club Under 1.5 goals (Al Ahli Saudi FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Al Ahli Saudi FC Over 1.5 goals (Al-Khaleej Club's own games don't back it (3 of 9)). Predicted score: Al Ahli Saudi FC 2-1 Al-Khaleej Club (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).