Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo. The referee is Gustavo Tejera.
What's at stake. Club Nacional de Football are 2nd on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Liverpool Montevideo, 1 point clear of Atletico Torque. A win would take them above Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st on 24 points after 11 games, 1 point clear of Club Nacional.
Form. Club Nacional de Football have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Club Nacional de Football have gone W W W W W D. Liverpool Montevideo have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Liverpool Montevideo have gone W D W W D L.
The numbers. Club Nacional de Football score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Club Nacional de Football average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Liverpool Montevideo score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Liverpool Montevideo average 9.7 shots (5.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Nacional de Football have won five, drawn three and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Nacional de Football won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Club Nacional de Football 3-1 Liverpool Montevideo.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Liverpool Montevideo's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Club Nacional de Football to win. Their goals for and against make Club Nacional de Football the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Club Nacional de Football.
The bets. Best bet: Club Nacional de Football or Draw at 1.27, 77% on the records (Club Nacional de Football unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Liverpool Montevideo failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: Club Nacional de Football or Both Teams Score at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Club Nacional de Football 1-0 Liverpool Montevideo (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).