FTFKT

15:30Sat 24 Oct

FCH

FK Transinvest vs FC Hegelmann Kaunas

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

FTv

Over 1.5 Goals

FK Transinvest v FC Hegelmann Kaunas

Lithuania - TOPLYGA · 15:30

1.17odds

85%book

-11edge

2/2angles

EDGE PICKFC Hegelmann Kaunas Under 1.5 goals · 75.1% · @1.24

Book 81% · Us 75% -6 price too short

Backed by

FC Hegelmann Kaunas scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · FK Transinvest conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Transinvest's level · FK Transinvest: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level

· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Match details. TOPLYGA. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.

Form. FK Transinvest have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. FC Hegelmann Kaunas have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.

The numbers. FK Transinvest score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Transinvest average 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. FC Hegelmann Kaunas score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Hegelmann Kaunas average 4.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: FK Transinvest are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Transinvest the likelier winners; FK Transinvest are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Transinvest. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 78% on the records (FK Transinvest: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Hegelmann Kaunas: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: FC Hegelmann Kaunas Under 1.5 Goals at 1.24. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: FC Hegelmann Kaunas Over 0.5 goals (FK Transinvest's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Transinvest are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Transinvest are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Transinvest 2-1 FC Hegelmann Kaunas (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.17

FKT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCH 4 of 5 (80%)74.1%

FK Transinvest: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · FK Transinvest: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Transinvest's level

FK TRANSINVEST GOALS

FK Transinvest Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCH 3 of 5 (60%)84.8%

FK Transinvest scored in 4 of 5 at home · FC Hegelmann Kaunas conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · FK Transinvest: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Transinvest's level

FC HEGELMANN KAUNAS GOALS

FC Hegelmann Kaunas Under 1.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.24

FKT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCH 3 of 5 (60%)75.1%

Left off the list: FC Hegelmann Kaunas Over 0.5 goals (FK Transinvest's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Transinvest are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Transinvest are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

FK Transinvest goals →

FC Hegelmann Kaunas goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK TRANSINVESTDWWLWDLWWL1.70 PPG

FC HEGELMANN KAUNASLDDLDDLLLW0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK TRANSINVEST HOMExFC HEGELMANN KAUNAS AWAY

1.59SCORED A GAME1.071.31CONCEDED A GAME1.7360%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.62CORNERS A GAME4.472.21CARDS A GAME2.27

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

FK TRANSINVEST OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

FK Transinvest have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Hegelmann Kaunas have scored in 80% of their games.

FK Transinvest kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Hegelmann Kaunas kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards