Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado. The referee is Jose Burgos.
What's at stake. Deportivo Maldonado are 5th on 18 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Penarol, level on points with Cerro. A win would take them above Penarol. Danubio FC are 12th on 10 points after 11 games, 5 points behind Wanderers, 1 point clear of Albion FC.
Form. Deportivo Maldonado have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition Deportivo Maldonado have gone L D W W W L. Danubio FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Danubio FC have gone W L W L D D.
The numbers. Deportivo Maldonado score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Deportivo Maldonado average 5.7 shots (2.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Danubio FC score 0.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Danubio FC average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Deportivo Maldonado have won two, drawn five and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Deportivo Maldonado won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 18 May 2026, it finished Deportivo Maldonado 3-1 Danubio FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Deportivo Maldonado to win. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Maldonado the likelier winners; Deportivo Maldonado are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Maldonado.
The bets. Best bet: Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.24, 80% on the records (Deportivo Maldonado unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Danubio FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Deportivo Maldonado or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Danubio FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).