Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn.
What's at stake. FCI Levadia Tallinn are 1st on 81 points after 32 games, 23 points clear of Flora Tallinn. Harju JK Laagri are 6th on 47 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Tammeka, 11 points clear of Vaprus. A win would take them level on points with Tammeka. Harju JK Laagri have nothing left to play for.
Form. FCI Levadia Tallinn have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition FCI Levadia Tallinn have gone W W W D W W. Harju JK Laagri have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Harju JK Laagri have gone W W W W D W.
The numbers. FCI Levadia Tallinn score 3.8 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. FCI Levadia Tallinn average 7.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Harju JK Laagri score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Harju JK Laagri average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FCI Levadia Tallinn have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FCI Levadia Tallinn won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished FCI Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Harju JK Laagri.
The case against. Harju JK Laagri's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. FCI Levadia Tallinn to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FCI Levadia Tallinn the likelier winners; FCI Levadia Tallinn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FCI Levadia Tallinn; the meetings favour FCI Levadia Tallinn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 77% on the records (FCI Levadia Tallinn: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Harju JK Laagri: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: FCI Levadia Tallinn or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FCI Levadia Tallinn are a clear winner, no Unders); FCI Levadia Tallinn or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Harju JK Laagri Under 1.5 goals (Harju JK Laagri's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: FCI Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Harju JK Laagri (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).