Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo. The referee is M. Delgado.
What's at stake. SC Corinthians SP are 18th on 33 points after 32 games, 2 points behind Internacional, 4 points clear of Remo. A win would take them above Internacional. Mirassol FC SP are 16th on 37 points after 32 games, level on points with Gremio, 2 points clear of Internacional. A win would take them above Gremio.
Team news. SC Corinthians SP are without Alex Santana (inactive), A. Carrillo (inactive), M. Depay (inactive), Gabriel Paulista (inactive), Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury). Gabriel Paulista is their centre-back. Mirassol FC SP are without Negueba (knee injury), Jose Aldo (muscle injury), Negueba (knee injury), Jose Aldo (muscle injury).
Form. SC Corinthians SP have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition SC Corinthians SP have gone L D L L L L. Mirassol FC SP have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Mirassol FC SP have gone D W L D W D.
The numbers. SC Corinthians SP score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. SC Corinthians SP average 15.5 shots (4.5 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Mirassol FC SP score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mirassol FC SP average 15.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings SC Corinthians SP have won six, drawn one and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SC Corinthians SP won two and Mirassol FC SP won two. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished SC Corinthians SP 1-2 Mirassol FC SP: SC Corinthians SP had 11 shots to 7, 61% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Mirassol FC SP's record still gives them 48% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. SC Corinthians SP or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Mirassol FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mirassol FC SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 74% on the records (SC Corinthians SP: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Mirassol FC SP: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Corinthians SP 1-1 Mirassol FC SP (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).