CR Vasco da Gama RJ vs CR Flamengo RJ
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Bruno Arleu.
What's at stake. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are 13th on 38 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Coritiba, level on points with Vitoria. A win would take them above Coritiba. CR Flamengo RJ are 1st on 70 points after 32 games, level on points with Palmeiras.
Team news. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are without Cauan Barros (leg injury), C. Cuesta (hip injury), Mateus Carvalho (knee injury), A. Gomez (injury), Cauan Barros (leg injury), C. Cuesta (hip injury). CR Flamengo RJ are without J. Carrascal (yellow cards), Danilo (jaw injury), S. Niguez (muscle injury), A. Valencia (eye injury), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury), J. Carrascal (yellow cards).
Form. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition CR Vasco da Gama RJ have gone W L D W W W. CR Flamengo RJ have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition CR Flamengo RJ have gone W W W D W W.
The numbers. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 19.5 shots (6.5 on target), 7.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. CR Flamengo RJ score two and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. CR Flamengo RJ average 19.5 shots (7.6 on target), 9.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won none, drawn five and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, three were drawn and CR Flamengo RJ won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished CR Vasco da Gama RJ 2-2 CR Flamengo RJ: CR Vasco da Gama RJ had 20 shots to 12, 51% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. CR Vasco da Gama RJ's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. CR Flamengo RJ to win. An open game. CR Flamengo RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Flamengo RJ; the meetings favour CR Flamengo RJ. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CR Vasco da Gama RJ Under 1.5 goals (CR Vasco da Gama RJ's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1-2 CR Flamengo RJ (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).