Match details. Br1. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time.
Form. Clube do Remo PA have won none, drawn three and lost three of their last six, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. Botafogo FR RJ have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. Clube do Remo PA score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Clube do Remo PA average 13.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Botafogo FR RJ score one and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Botafogo FR RJ average 12.4 shots (4.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Clube do Remo PA the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Botafogo FR RJ.
The case against. Clube do Remo PA's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Botafogo FR RJ or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Clube do Remo PA the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Botafogo FR RJ. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Botafogo FR RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Botafogo FR RJ or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Clube do Remo PA 1-1 Botafogo FR RJ (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).