Queretaro FC vs CF Cruz Azul
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro.
What's at stake. Queretaro FC are 8th on 20 points after 12 games, level on points with Monterrey, 1 point clear of Santos Laguna. A win would take them above Monterrey. CF Cruz Azul are 4th on 23 points after 13 games, level on points with Toluca, 1 point clear of Leon. A win would take them above Toluca.
Form. Queretaro FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Queretaro FC have gone L L W W D W. CF Cruz Azul have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition CF Cruz Azul have gone W W D D L W.
The numbers. Queretaro FC score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Queretaro FC average 13.2 shots (3.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. CF Cruz Azul score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CF Cruz Azul average 17.6 shots (6.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Queretaro FC have won one, drawn three and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and CF Cruz Azul won two. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished Queretaro FC 1-1 CF Cruz Azul: Queretaro FC had 10 shots to 20, 31% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Queretaro FC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CF Cruz Azul to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make CF Cruz Azul the likelier winners; CF Cruz Azul are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Cruz Azul. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 77% on the records (Queretaro FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; CF Cruz Azul: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Over 3.5 Cards at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Queretaro FC 1-2 CF Cruz Azul (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).